System33_07support_v1 part2 ( low cross part )

Some improvements to drawdowns were made to this model after de-bugging and experimenting with various settings.

The new RSI filter proved useful also and 5 day RSI has to be less than 41 to allow a support low cross signal this is a logical spot for it and it removed a lot of bad signal, without removing too many good signals.

Optimising the atrs showed that the wider the atr the bigger the profits and and bigger the drawdown, so a figure with low dd was chosen at the expense of profit.

The support level percent when optimised show 0.018 to be the best, and this was tested in 100 minute time frame.

 On reflection this is the only setting with will need to be altered to suit time frame changes.

Setting for 07Support_v1 part2 (low-cross)

Max loss exit stop =   66 POINTS

Support_TOL = 0.018  ( suggested starting points for times around 100 mins on FT-SE 0.010 up to 0.020)

ATR trailing exit = 2.4 ( suggested 1.8 up to 3.2) note increasing too much makes DD to large)

RSI Filter = 41

ORIGINAL TESTING. BELOW. LAST  LINE SHOWS FINAL RESULT AFTER DE-BUG AND OPT OF FUNCTIONS

Note the initial tests were with both support function operating. And the result at the bottom is for V1 part2 only ( low cross)

VERDICT.

I am alarmed how the system falls apart when shifted far away from the 100 minute time frame.

So its possibly dangerous. The system 33 filter maybe not be ideally set to identify the rising and falling trends

in futures markets. Possibly its settings are "too coarse", But the setting is good for stocks.

 

  Score Interval Trades Profit Win-lose  Risk-R  Max DD  Ave win  Ave loss  Best win Worst loss Kelly Equitycurve
    Week 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Null
  B+ Daily 13 1080 53.8% 1.89 -645 282 -149 642 292 28 DD just failed
  A 400 33 2370 66.6% 1.33 -700 172 -129 533 348 41.1 DD Fail but ok
  B 240 53 1561 49% 1.61 -796 168 -104 600 -311  17.3 DD Fail stop opt
    180 73 368 45.2 1.33 -1116 123 -269 458 -269 3.9 DD Fail stop opt
    120 107 -696 40.1 1.27 -1372 95 -74 396 -74 NEG LOSING FAIL
  B 100 145 1621 50.34 1.35 -921 82 -61 486 -227 13.4 DD Fail stop opt
    80 177 1313 47.4 1.41 -794 73 -52 537 -191 9.4 DD Fail stop Opt
    60 208 557 44.23% 1.39 -1139 67 -48 473 -216 4.1 DD Fail stop Opt
    50 250 -213 40.4% 1.52 -1311 69 -45 693 -223 1.1 DD Fail stop Opt
                           
    After debug and optimise below here            
  B 120 95 383 47.91% 1.28 -429 64 -51 187 -133 7.1  LOW PASS
  B 110 102 205 44% 1.38 -407 55 -40 223 -116 3.4  
  A+ 100 128 1024 46.8% 1.56 -319 62 -40 278 -97 20.1  PASS
  A- 90 134 1010 41.79 1.82 -726 77 -42 365 -115 9.8  PASS > 2003
  B 80 133 140 40.04% 1.53 -408 58 -39 183 -111 7.8   LOW PASS
  F 70 134 -224 39 1.43 -807 54 -37 365 -166 NEG DD FAIL
  C 60 159 -6.6 36 1.74 -754 57 -162 383 -162 NEG DD FAIL